There’s been much written at Larvatus Prodeo and Possum’s Pollytics about how the reporting of polls has changed to hype some metrics more than others, even though what used to be the gold standard, Preferred Prime Minister (PPM), still has Rudd ahead by 25 percentage points (even if the 15% of undecideds all went for Abbott, that still leaves him 10 points behind).
Sure, Rudd and Labor have lost points from the astonishing high polls of 2 years ago (who thought those figures could last anyway?), but on every measure polling shows that if a Federal election were held right now, Labor would not just retain government but would pick up quite a few more seats from the Libs. But that’s not what you’re hearing or reading from mainstream news reporters, is it?
Yesterday’s Question Time in Federal Parliament was thus a welcome relief from the predictable routine of the last few months.
The tactic by the ALP to allow Abbott to speak for 10 minutes in Parliamentary prime time was a a risky one, but they wagered it was worth it, because they wanted the issue of the day to be Health policy and not insulation or asylum seekers. They wanted the last day of Parliament to be on the topic that they wanted; they would not have dreamed that the Libs would let them make it the issue for next week as well.