Does anybody seriously think that the Labor caucus won’t wait until the results of next week’s Budget sessions before any of the various ambitious operators decide whether to make their move or not? The punditariat are in a frenzy of speculation and denunciation of PM Gillard which has reached new heights since Craig Thomson announced his departure from the Labor caucus to sit in the House as an independent. They scent blood in the water, but if Gillard does manage to push the Budget through (since she does – just – have the numbers still), how much traction will any of this exercise in outrage have then?
So what’s next for the national soap opera? I’m not a fan of the Gillard government’s media handling skills (bungle after misstep after bungle), but their track record on getting their policies into legislation is fairly impressive (even if the policies themselves aren’t as progressive as I’d like). On the other hand the risks taken with not pushing through on pokies reform and the vote for Slipper as Speaker do seem to have ended as miscalculations, leaving the working majority on the floor hugely vulnerable now.
What are your projections for next week’s cliffhanger?