Cyclone alerts: Perth, Townsville regions

UPDATE Wednesday 2nd February: TC Bianca and TC Anthony turned out to (thankfully) be much lighter than originally feared. Severe TC Yasi currently on track to hit land between Townsville and Cairns, is just getting stronger and stronger.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi

AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE BRISBANE
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP
The image below will automatically update as the BoM alters its forecasts as the storm progresses. Yasi hit shore as a Category 5 storm and is currently (early hours Thursday) just weakening to a Category 4.
Forecast Storm Track for TC Yasi
Right now the bright red and dark pink zones in the centre of the cyclone are indicating Very Destructive Winds, Destructive Winds and Strong Gale Force Winds, that will be moving into the orange and yellow zones over Wednesday night, through Thursday and up to Friday morning (when Yasi is projected to reach Mt Isa as a Category 1 cyclone). The wind force should abate gradually once the storm hits shore and moves inland, but the winds are so strong right now that it’s still going to be devastating.
Orange – Warning Zone – Gales within 24 hours
Yellow – Watch Zone – Gales from 24 to 48 hours
Grey arrow – Most Likely Future Track
Pale grey area – Range of Likely Tracks of Cyclone Centre


UPDATE Wednesday 2nd February: the two cyclones below have been and gone with relatively little damage and no loss of life.

  • Perth officially on cyclone alert for Sunday
    Forwarded by Hoydenizen Bookgirl, who wonders whether “maybe the entire population of Australia should start packing up and relocating from Dec-Feb each year…”. I’ll add that if you don’t already have a battery powered radio and a good supply of batteries, get them in!

    Extra Tropical Cyclone Bianca is [predicted to be] almost a direct hit on Perth/Bunbury as a CAT 1 cyclone.
    This is the 1 in 15 year event…
    Gale force winds up to 120km sustained winds…sever thunderstorm and LOTS OF RAIN!!
    Please take all precautions necessary as this is due to cross SUNDAY morning 30JAN.
    Secure all your outside tables and any moveable items in the yard that may fly!
    Remove sails
    Stock up on your bread and milk
    Fill up your car
    Get batteries, torches I nthe event your area has downed power lines and no electricity

  • (Feb 2nd: cyclone forecast track map removed as now outdated)

  • Far Northeast Queensland is on Cyclone Alert for Monday
    BOM:

    A Cyclone WATCH is now current for coastal areas from Innisfail to Saint
    Lawrence.
    […]
    Tropical Cyclone Anthony is currently slow moving. Anthony is expected to turn
    to the southwest during Saturday while gradually intensifying.

    Damaging winds are expected to develop about coastal and island communities
    between Innisfail and St Lawrence during Sunday.

  • (Feb 2nd: cyclone forecast track map removed as now outdated)

Brian at LP points out that

Before the rain comes the wind, and ironically the first danger could be fire from the high winds.

One precaution not listed above, but which I saw some people undertaking during the Queensland floods and it reminded me of emergency preparation advice I once knew before: fill your bathtub with water, so that if the water supply gets turned off due to pipe damage or whatever you have a significant supply of clean drinking water to see you through. Any large bottles you have around that you can fill with water, the more the better. Dig them out of your recycling bin if you need to.

BTW, I really appreciate this standard line in the BOM alerts:

Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message, particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.

Take care, everybody in the line of storms.

Online Resources

Bureau of Meteorology: Current Tropical Cyclones
Checklist for Surviving Cyclones: Preparation and Safety Procedures
Local information/updates/emergency contacts
WeatherZone forum: Tropical and Central Australia
WeatherZone forum: Southern Western Australia



Categories: Life

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15 replies

  1. The opening “predicted” part for Bianca was the BOM’s worst case scenario yesterday, not their likely scenario, thankfully. It is looking like it won’t be anything more than a Tropical Low by the time it crosses the coast, and the warning has been downgraded accordingly, with a worst case scenario of gusts to 100 km/hr, which we’ve been through before. So long as people are sensible (not, say, out boating, like during Cyclone Alby), things should be ok from the storm point of view. I am worried about bushfires today, though.
    We are doing the basics – shade sails down, garden furniture secured – and we keep a half-decent emergency kit in stock anyway already (water, batteries, wind-up torches, UHT milk, BBQ gas bottle, yadda yadda). This month I’ve already stocked the freezer with bottles filled with tap water to buffer power outages, so no other special prep here. We have no big trees close enough to fall on the house.
    I hope you Qlders are alright.

  2. We’re staying on Bianca’s track just near the L.
    Already a a bit damp but this one doesn’t seem too worrying. Likely winds approx 100 kmph.
    My take: Cyclone Bianca: Will We Be Next?

  3. We had a very big rain/thunderstorm this afternoon. That’s all we’ve had so far. However the sky has continued to look ominous all afternoon.

  4. Well, it’s midday (12.04pm) to be precise, the weather here in Parmelia (southern suburbs, halfway to Mandurah) is still clear and calm, and as far as I can tell, Bianca’s stalled somewhere off the coast. Blue skies everywhere. I’m just hoping she hits some time this evening, so I don’t have to water the garden.

  5. 😦 😦 😦

    So sad to anticipate what the news of TC Yasi will be tomorrow morning.

  6. Just about to add a forecast track map for TC Yasi to the post.
    It’s vast, really vast. So scary for the folks in North Queensland right now.

  7. Keep safe y’all.

    • It’s daylight now on the East Coast of Australia. The pictures of what did and didn’t get blown away last night should start hitting the ‘net shortly.

      • From the SMH Yasi liveblog:
        7.13am
        Heavy rain and “dangerous wind gusts” continue…
        A lack of news and video from Yasi’s path of destruction this morning is a telling sign of the dangerous conditions still facing those stranded in the Yasi Triangle.
        7.07am
        BOM Update: Yasi DOWNGRADED to a Category 2.

  8. Don’t have a lot to add to the news media coverage. People in FNQ, especially between Cassowary Coast people, I am thinking of you!

  9. Completely trivally, look at this amazing photo of the edge of the storm (that is, well inland from the eye) as viewed from Cloncurry yesterday: http://www.flickr.com/photos/johncnj/5409782091/in/photostream/

  10. Great photo!
    Yasi is winding down now, although it’s still a big storm. Some highlights from today’s updates on SMH liveblog:
    3.28pm
    For those keeping track of Yasi, she is now officially a category one with winds above 90kmh.
    3.10pm
    Julia Creek, more than 700km from where Cyclone Yasi crossed the coast, awaits its first cyclone with “curiosity”, its mayor says.
    Mckinlay Shire Council mayor Paul Woodhouse said he was a bit surprised to be preparing the community for a cyclone.
    2.33pm
    While the lack of death or serious injury has been a cause for joy thus far, it may be too early to start counting chickens. Here’s the latest update about the state of affairs in Cardwell…
    “Fatalities in cyclone-hit Cardwell can’t be ruled out, Cassowary Coast mayor Bill Shannon tells AAP.
    1.44pm
    There’s a warning for dangerous swells due to Cyclone Yasi, with coastal areas south of Ayr to Prosperpine being impacted.
    Dangerous beach conditions and abnormally high tides are expected near the coast from Cairns to Proserpine, including the Whitsundays, until mid-Thursday afternoon.
    Abnormally high tides are no longer expected along the tropical east coast.
    12.35pm
    From the latest briefing with emergency services minister Neil Roberts:
    • Preliminary assessments showing “quite significant structural damage” from Yasi, especially in towns like Tully and Cardwell. Efforts to assess damage are being hampered by lack of access by road and air
    • Concern remains for flash flooding in Ingham, among other areas
    • Overnight shelters in Cairns and Townsville starting to shut down
    • In Tully and Innifsail, some people are “effectively homeless” and permanent shelters are being established
    • 180,000 homes remain without power in the region
    • Over 1500 calls to SES overnight. That number is expected to increase as people return to homes
    • SES using chainsaws to cut their way into communities
    • Decision on operation of schools will be made as early as 1pm today
    • Yasi is about 385km from Mt Isa, a category two cyclone but weakening. Expected to hit Mt Isa at 10pm tonight as a significant storm

  11. It seems that there’s still concern about Cardwell. Hoping for the best when emergency services get in there properly.

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